Polity Notes

US–Iran–Israel Conflict

The conflict between Iran, Israel, and the United States is one of the most important geopolitical conflicts in West Asia. It is not merely a military confrontation but also a clash of ideology, regional influence, security concerns, nuclear politics, and global power rivalry. Tensions have increased because of Iran’s nuclear program, Israel’s security fears, U.S. involvement, and proxy wars across West Asia.

Basic Facts

Iran:

● Location: West Asia (Middle East); bordered by Iraq, Turkey, Pakistan, Afghanistan, and the Persian Gulf

● Capital: Tehran

● Type of Government: Islamic Republic (Theocratic Republic)

● Head of Government / President: Masoud Pezeshkian

● Supreme Leader: Mojtaba Khamenei (holds ultimate authority over military and foreign policy)

● Official Religion: Shia Islam

● Currency: Iranian Rial

● Strategic Importance: Large oil and gas reserves; controls access to the Strait of Hormuz.

Israel:

● Location: West Asia, eastern Mediterranean coast

● Capital: Tel Aviv is Israel’s most famous financial, technological, and cultural hub (Silicon Wadi), often called the “Miami of the Middle East,” while the capital is Jerusalem.

● Type of Government: Parliamentary Democracy

● Prime Minister: Benjamin Netanyahu

● President: Isaac Herzog

● Currency: Israeli Shekel

● Strategic Importance: Major U.S. ally and advanced military power in West Asia.

United States:

● Location: North America

● Capital: Washington D.C.

● Type of Government: Federal Presidential Republic

● President: Donald Trump

● Currency: U.S. Dollar

● Strategic Importance: Global superpower with military bases and strong influence in West Asia.

Historical Background of the Conflict

1. Iran–Israel Relations Before 1979

Before the Islamic Revolution of 1979, Iran and Israel maintained friendly relations. Iran under Shah Mohammad Reza Pahlavi was pro-Western and closely aligned with the United States. Israel viewed Iran as an important regional partner against Arab nationalism.

Iran supplied oil to Israel and both countries cooperated in intelligence and military matters.

2. Islamic Revolution of 1979

The Islamic Revolution completely changed Iran’s foreign policy. The new regime led by Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini declared Israel an illegitimate state and called the United States the “Great Satan(Shaitan).” Iran adopted an anti-Western and anti-Israel ideological stance.

Since then, Iran has supported Palestinian causes and anti-Israel militant groups.

3. U.S.–Iran Hostility

Relations between the U.S. and Iran deteriorated after:

● The 1979 hostage crisis in Tehran

● U.S. sanctions on Iran

● Iran’s support for armed groups in West Asia

● Iran’s nuclear program

The rivalry became both ideological and strategic.

Major Reasons Behind the War

1. Iran’s Nuclear Program

The biggest reason for the conflict is Iran’s nuclear program. Iran claims its nuclear program is for peaceful purposes such as electricity generation and scientific research. However, Israel and the United States suspect Iran is trying to develop nuclear weapons.

Israel considers a nuclear-armed Iran an existential threat because Iran openly opposes Israel’s existence.

Why Israel Fears Iran’s Nuclear Program

● Iran has enriched uranium to high levels.

● Iran possesses ballistic missile technology.

● Iran supports anti-Israel groups.

● Israel fears Iran may eventually develop nuclear bombs.

Israel believes waiting for Iran to become nuclear-capable would endanger its survival.

2. Iran’s “Axis of Resistance”

Iran has built a regional network called the “Axis of Resistance,” which includes:

● Hezbollah in Lebanon

● Hamas in Gaza

● Houthis in Yemen

● Pro-Iran militias in Iraq and Syria

Iran uses these proxies groups to counter Israel and U.S. influence without direct war. Israel sees these groups as terrorist organizations threatening its security.

3. Security Dilemma

All sides claim they are acting defensively:

● Iran says it needs missiles and proxies to protect itself from U.S. and Israeli aggression.

● Israel says military strikes are necessary to stop Iran from becoming a threat to its security.

● The U.S. says its military presence protects allies and global stability.

This mutual distrust creates an arms race and repeated military escalation.

4. Regional Power Struggle

The conflict between Iran, Israel, and the United States is deeply connected to the struggle for regional dominance in West Asia. Iran seeks to expand its political, military, and ideological influence in countries such as Iraq, Syria, Lebanon, Yemen, and the Persian Gulf region. Iran supports allied governments and armed groups in these areas in order to increase its strategic depth and strengthen its position against Western influence.

On the other hand, Israel and the United States want to prevent Iran from becoming the dominant regional power because they believe that greater Iranian influence would destabilize the region, threaten Israel’s security, and weaken American influence in West Asia.

What Does America Want?

Prevent Iran from Acquiring Nuclear Weapons

The primary objective of the United States is to stop Iran from developing nuclear weapons. The U.S. believes that if Iran acquires nuclear weapons, it would destabilize West Asia, threaten the existence of Israel, encourage nuclear proliferation among other countries, and endanger American allies in the Gulf region.

Protect Israel

The United States is Israel’s strongest ally and considers Israel a key strategic partner in West Asia. America provides Israel with military aid, intelligence support, advanced weapons systems, and diplomatic backing in international forums. The U.S. believes that protecting Israel’s security is essential for maintaining its own strategic influence in the region.

Secure Oil Routes and Global Trade

The United States also seeks to ensure stability in major oil and shipping routes, especially the Strait of Hormuz and the Persian Gulf shipping lanes. A significant portion of the world’s oil supply passes through these routes. Any disruption caused by war or blockade can affect global energy markets, increase oil prices, and damage the world economy.

Counter Iran’s Regional Influence

The United States opposes Iran’s growing influence through groups such as Hezbollah, Hamas, and other militias operating in West Asia. America believes that these groups destabilize the region through armed conflict and threaten U.S. allies such as Israel and Gulf countries.

What Does Iran Want?

Regime Survival and Security

The top priority of Iran is protecting the Islamic Republic from foreign intervention and regime change. Iran believes that the United States and Israel aim to weaken or overthrow its government. Therefore, Iran strengthens its military capabilities and regional alliances to protect itself against external threats.

Regional Influence and Strategic Depth

Iran seeks to become a major regional power in West Asia by expanding its influence in Iraq, Syria, Lebanon, and Yemen. Iran views this influence as essential for strategic depth and national security.

Opposition to Israel

Iran refuses to recognize Israel as a legitimate state and strongly supports the Palestinian cause. Iran argues that Israel illegally occupies Palestinian territories and oppresses Palestinians. Because of this ideological and political position, Iran supports anti-Israel resistance groups in the region.

Strategic Deterrence

Iran believes that missiles, drones, and allied militias are necessary deterrents against stronger powers like the United States and Israel. Since Iran cannot directly compete with American military power, it relies on asymmetric warfare and proxy groups to increase its strategic strength.

Why Does Israel Attack Iran?

Preventing Nuclear Weapons Development

Israel’s main objective is to stop Iran from developing nuclear weapons capability. Israel believes that a nuclear-armed Iran would pose an existential threat to its survival. Therefore, Israel follows a doctrine of “pre-emptive strikes,” under which it attacks potential threats before they fully emerge.

Countering Iran’s Military Presence Near Israeli Borders

Iran-backed groups operate close to Israeli borders, especially Hezbollah in Lebanon, militias in Syria, and Hamas in Gaza. Israel considers these organizations direct military threats because they possess rockets, missiles, and armed fighters capable of attacking Israeli territory. Israel therefore targets Iranian military infrastructure and allied groups to reduce these threats.

Protecting National Security

Israel believes that Iran openly seeks its destruction through hostile speeches, military buildup, and support for armed groups. Therefore, Israel argues that aggressive military actions against Iran are acts of self-defense necessary for national survival and security.

Iran’s Official Stand

Iran officially claims that its nuclear program is peaceful and intended only for civilian purposes such as energy generation and scientific research. Iran argues that Israel is an occupying power and that Palestinian resistance against Israeli occupation is legitimate. Iran also believes that the military presence of the United States in West Asia destabilizes the region. Furthermore, Iran argues that economic sanctions and military strikes against it violate its sovereignty and international law. Iran describes the groups it supports as “resistance movements” rather than terrorist organizations.

Israel’s Official Stand

Israel argues that Iran cannot be trusted with nuclear technology because of its hostile policies and support for militant organizations. Israel accuses Iran of funding and arming Hezbollah, Hamas, and other groups that target Israeli civilians. Israel believes that Iran threatens its very existence through proxy warfare and military expansion. Therefore, Israel justifies military strikes on Iranian targets as necessary acts of self-defense.

Role of the United States in the Conflict

The United States plays a major role in the conflict through its military bases in Gulf countries, naval presence in the Persian Gulf, economic sanctions against Iran, and intelligence cooperation with Israel. The U.S. also led diplomatic initiatives such as the nuclear agreement known as the JCPOA. America attempts to balance military pressure with diplomatic negotiations to limit Iran’s nuclear activities.

JCPOA Nuclear Agreement

What Was the JCPOA?

The Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action was signed in 2015 between Iran and world powers. Under the agreement, Iran agreed to limit uranium enrichment and allow international inspections in exchange for relief from economic sanctions. The deal aimed to prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons while reducing tensions in the region.

Why Did the United States Withdraw?

In 2018, during the presidency of Donald Trump, the United States withdrew from the JCPOA. The U.S. argued that the agreement did not address Iran’s ballistic missile program, ignored Iran’s support for regional militias, and provided only temporary restrictions on Iran’s nuclear activities. After the withdrawal, tensions between Iran and the United States sharply increased.

Recent Escalation of the Conflict

Assassinations and Military Strikes

The conflict began when the US and Israel launched airstrikes on Iran, targeting military and government sites and assassinating several Iranian officials, including Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, Iranian nuclear scientists and military commanders, Iranian missile and drone attacks, and proxy attacks across Lebanon, Syria, Iraq, and Yemen. These actions has increased direct war between Israel and Iran.

Strait of Hormuz Crisis

The Strait of Hormuz is one of the world’s most important oil trade routes. Around one-fifth of global oil and gas passes through this narrow waterway. Any blockade or military conflict in this region can raise global oil prices, disrupt energy supplies, and harm international trade.

Why is the Strait of Hormuz Important?

The Strait of Hormuz is considered the “Energy Lifeline of the World” because a significant portion of the world’s crude oil and gas exports passes through it daily.

● Strategic Location: It is a narrow maritime chokepoint (55–95 km wide) between Iran and the Arabian Peninsula, linking the Persian Gulf with the Gulf of Oman and the Arabian Sea (only sea passage from the Persian Gulf to the open ocean). It functions as a critical corridor for global shipments of oil and liquefied natural gas (LNG) from Persian Gulf nations.

● Energy Significance: It is a critical artery for global oil movement, carrying 20% of the world’s total oil supply.

○ Major exporters such as Saudi Arabia, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, UAE, and Qatar depend on this route, with over 80% of the oil headed toward Asian markets, especially India, China, Japan, and South Korea.

● India’s Reliance: Approximately 40% of India’s crude oil imports and nearly 54% of its LNG imports move through this strategic passage, underscoring its vital role in India’s energy security.

Role of Russia and China

Russia’s Stand

Russia generally supports Iran diplomatically because both countries oppose American dominance in global politics. Russia and Iran cooperate closely in Syria and benefit from strategic anti-Western partnerships. Russia condemns Israeli and American strikes on Iran as violations of sovereignty and international law. However, Russia avoids direct military involvement in the conflict to prevent broader escalation.

China’s Stand

China supports regional stability and opposes unilateral military action. China’s major interests include securing oil imports from West Asia, maintaining international trade routes, expanding the Belt and Road Initiative, and reducing American influence in global politics. China maintains good relations with Iran, Saudi Arabia, and Gulf countries and usually advocates diplomatic dialogue instead of military confrontation.

Role of UAE in the Conflict

The United Arab Emirates plays an important role in the Gulf region because it is a major oil exporter, global trade hub, and strategic partner of the United States. Cities like Dubai and ports such as Fujairah are vital for international trade and oil transportation. The UAE officially supports freedom of navigation, secure shipping routes, and diplomatic solutions in the Gulf region. It also cooperates with the U.S. and Western countries for maritime security and protection of oil infrastructure. The United Arab Emirates (UAE) has also officially withdrawn from OPEC and OPEC+, a move driven by security vulnerabilities amid the US-Israel-Iran conflict and long-standing frustrations with Saudi-dominated oil production quotas.

Iran accused the UAE of indirectly supporting U.S. and Israeli military operations by allowing American military presence and cooperating with Western security efforts in the Gulf region. Iran viewed the UAE as supporting strategies against Iranian interests. Therefore, Iran and Iran-backed groups targeted strategic areas linked to oil facilities, shipping infrastructure, and logistics near Dubai and Fujairah to pressure Gulf countries and warn them against siding openly with the United States and Israel.

Impact of the Conflict on India

Threat to Energy Security

India imports a large quantity of crude oil and gas from West Asia, and much of this oil and gas passes through the Strait of Hormuz. Any conflict in the region can increase oil prices, raise India’s import bill, create inflationary pressure, and weaken the Indian economy.

Impact on Indian Diaspora

Millions of Indians live and work in Gulf countries such as the UAE, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Kuwait, and Bahrain. Conflict in West Asia threatens the safety of Indian citizens, affects remittances sent to India, and creates uncertainty regarding employment opportunities.

Disruption of Trade and Connectivity

India’s important connectivity projects such as Chabahar Port and the India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor (IMEC) may face disruptions because of regional instability. Shipping disruptions in the Persian Gulf and Red Sea can increase freight costs, insurance expenses, and delays in international trade.

Diplomatic Challenges for India

India maintains strong relations with Israel in areas such as defense, technology, and innovation, while also maintaining important ties with Iran for energy security and regional connectivity. At the same time, India has close economic and diaspora links with Gulf countries. Therefore, India follows a balanced foreign policy approach known as “strategic autonomy,” which it avoids taking extreme sides and supports peaceful dialogue.

Chabahar Port

Chabahar Port is a strategically important seaport located in southeastern Iran on the Gulf of Oman. It is operated by India through India Ports Global Limited (IPGL) under a long-term agreement signed with Iran. India developed and operates the Shahid Beheshti terminal to gain direct access to Afghanistan and Central Asia by bypassing Pakistan. The port is important for India’s trade, energy security, and connectivity projects like the International North-South Transport Corridor (INSTC). It is also strategically significant because it helps India counter the growing Chinese presence at Gwadar Port in Pakistan. Despite U.S. sanctions on Iran, Chabahar received special exemptions due to its importance for regional trade and Afghanistan connectivity.

Way forward:

Diplomatic Negotiations

Direct talks between Iran, Israel, and global powers are essential for reducing tensions and preventing war. International organizations such as the United Nations and the European Union can play important roles as mediators.

Revival of Nuclear Agreements

Reviving the JCPOA or negotiating a new nuclear agreement could help limit nuclear escalation, increase international inspections, and reduce mistrust between Iran and Western powers.

Regional Cooperation

Countries in West Asia need regional security mechanisms and cooperation frameworks instead of military confrontation and proxy warfare. Confidence-building measures can reduce long-term tensions.

Two-State Solution

A peaceful resolution of the Israel–Palestine conflict through a two-state solution is essential for long-term stability in West Asia. It would provide statehood to Palestinians while ensuring security for Israel.

Conclusion

The US–Iran–Israel conflict is a complex geopolitical struggle involving nuclear politics, regional dominance, ideology, security concerns, and global strategic interests. The United States seeks to prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons and protect Israel, while Iran seeks regime survival, regional influence, and resistance against Western dominance. Israel views Iran as its greatest security threat and supports preventive military action. The conflict has major implications for global oil markets, international trade, diplomacy, and regional stability. For India, the conflict affects energy security, trade routes, foreign policy, and the safety of the Indian diaspora. Long-term peace can only be achieved through diplomacy, regional cooperation, and peaceful settlement of disputes rather than continuous military confrontation.